Home / NFL Projections NFL / Bengals @ Giants CIN @ NYG

CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

1-4  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sun, Oct 13 • 8:20 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-3  |  Home

7
Key Game
Dexter Lawrence II
KEY GAME

Dexter Lawrence II

#97 | Defensive Tackle
@
Jermaine Eluemunor
KEY GAME

Jermaine Eluemunor

#72 | Offensive Tackle
Player
Dexter Lawrence II None-None
Jermaine Eluemunor None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
GIANTS
0%
BENGALS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (New York)
BengalsCIN (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

41.3%

Giants Cover

58.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

CIN By 1-6 points

15.2%

CIN By 7-13 points

12.9%

NYG By 1-6 points

17.0%

NYG By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
17.16
CINCINNATI
20.25
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
23
CINCINNATI
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.1
D
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 37.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 13, 2024 CIN @ NYG 17 - 7
Nov 29, 2020 NYG @ CIN 19 - 17
Nov 14, 2016 CIN @ NYG 20 - 21
Nov 11, 2012 NYG @ CIN 13 - 31
Sep 21, 2008 CIN @ NYG 23 - 26
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.0% more
New York: 1.2 vs Cincinnati: 0.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +11.1% more
New York: 112.5 vs Cincinnati: 101.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +16.7% more
Cincinnati: 283.7 vs New York: 236.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +14.8% more
Cincinnati: 6.2 vs New York: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 17.2 17
NYG Score 20.3 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.6 / 22.8 24.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards 236.3 / 283.7 190.0 / 183.0
Rushing Yards 112.5 / 101.3 119.0 / 121.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.33 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 348.8 / 384.9 309.0 / 304.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 6.2 4.2 / 5.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
CIN
NYG
CIN
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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