Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Falcons SEA @ ATL

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

3-3  |  Road

34
FINAL
Sun, Oct 20 • 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

FALCONSATL

4-2  |  Home

14
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Charlie Woerner
KEY GAME

Charlie Woerner

#89 | Tight End
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Charlie Woerner None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
FALCONS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
FALCONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 FalconsATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

50.5%

Falcons Cover

49.5%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.5%

SEA By 7-13 points

15.5%

ATL By 1-6 points

16.4%

ATL By 7-13 points

15.2%

AI Model Projected Score
20.61
SEATTLE
20.42
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
23
SEATTLE
27
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Falcons Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim Falcons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 7, 2025 SEA @ ATL 37 - 9
Oct 20, 2024 SEA @ ATL 34 - 14
Sep 25, 2022 ATL @ SEA 27 - 23
Sep 13, 2020 SEA @ ATL 38 - 25
Oct 27, 2019 SEA @ ATL 27 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.9% more
Seattle: 1.9 vs Atlanta: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +44.9% more
Atlanta: 127.2 vs Seattle: 87.8
Yards Per Play (L5) +10.4% more
Atlanta: 6.2 vs Seattle: 5.6
Total Yards (L5) +9.3% more
Atlanta: 406.3 vs Seattle: 371.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 20.6 34
ATL Score 20.4 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.1 / 22.4 22.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 279.1 / 284.1 214.0 / 236.0
Rushing Yards 127.2 / 87.8 155.0 / 103.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.53 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 406.3 / 371.8 369.0 / 339.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.9 3.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 6.2 / 5.6 5.2 / 6.1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
ATL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
ATL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +4.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
ATL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
SEA
ATL
SEA
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
0% 0-4
50% 1-1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bengals Defender Exposes Malik Willis's Pre-Throw Tic Before Dol…
bleacherreport 0 minutes ago
Rams' Special Teams Crisis: A 2026 Season Breakdown and How to F…
si 5 hours, 46 minutes ago
Chris Durr Jr. Lands on 2026 Biletnikoff Award Watch List After …
si 5 hours, 49 minutes ago
Sean Payton Steps In: Broncos Shake Up Offense After Four Weeks
sportingnews 5 hours, 57 minutes ago
Ronald Acuña Jr. Gets Emotional After Braves' Postseason Exit, E…
ajc 17 hours, 54 minutes ago