Home / NFL Projections NFL / Bengals @ Browns CIN @ CLE

CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

2-4  |  Road

21
FINAL
Sun, Oct 20 • 1:00 PM ET
Huntington Bank Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

BROWNSCLE

1-5  |  Home

14
Key Game
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
@
Corey Bojorquez
KEY GAME

Corey Bojorquez

#13 | Punter
Player
Ryan Rehkow None-None
Corey Bojorquez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
BROWNS
0%
BENGALS --
BROWNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Cleveland)
BengalsCIN (-3.5) 0 BrownsCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

44.4%

Browns Cover

55.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CIN By 1-6 points

15.7%

CIN By 7-13 points

13.8%

CLE By 1-6 points

16.9%

CLE By 7-13 points

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
17.23
CINCINNATI
19.21
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
20
CINCINNATI
24
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Browns Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Browns Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Browns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Browns (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 36.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 CLE @ CIN 20 - 18
Sep 7, 2025 CIN @ CLE 17 - 16
Dec 22, 2024 CLE @ CIN 6 - 24
Oct 20, 2024 CIN @ CLE 21 - 14
Jan 7, 2024 CLE @ CIN 14 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +40.7% more
Cincinnati: 250.1 vs Cleveland: 148.4
Total Yards (L5) +31.6% more
Cincinnati: 357.9 vs Cleveland: 244.7
Yards Per Play (L5) +31.0% more
Cincinnati: 6.1 vs Cleveland: 4.2
First Downs (L5) +25.1% more
Cincinnati: 19.5 vs Cleveland: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 17.2 21
CLE Score 19.2 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 14.6 / 19.5 18.0 / 12.0
Net Passing Yards 148.4 / 250.1 259.0 / 164.0
Rushing Yards 96.3 / 107.8 77.0 / 59.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.2 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.15
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 244.7 / 357.9 336.0 / 223.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.0 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.2 / 6.1 4.4 / 4.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
CLE Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
CLE
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CIN
CLE
CIN
ML
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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