Home / NFL Projections NFL / Raiders @ Rams LV @ LAR

LAS VEGAS

RAIDERSLV

2-4  |  Road

15
FINAL
Sun, Oct 20 • 4:05 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

1-4  |  Home

20
Key Game
Brennan Jackson
KEY GAME

Brennan Jackson

#54 | Linebacker
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Brennan Jackson None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
📊
RAMS
100%
RAIDERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
LAS VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Las Vegas)
RaidersLV (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

60.0%

Rams Cover

40.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LV -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LV)

LV By 1-6 points

17.0%

LV By 7-13 points

17.8%

LAR By 1-6 points

15.0%

LAR By 7-13 points

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
20.21
LAS VEGAS
16.65
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
LAS VEGAS
27
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raiders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Raiders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 36.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 20, 2024 LV @ LAR 15 - 20
Dec 8, 2022 LV @ LAR 16 - 17
Sep 10, 2018 LAR @ LV 33 - 13
Nov 30, 2014 LV @ LAR 0 - 52
Sep 19, 2010 LAR @ LV 14 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +35.0% more
Las Vegas: 2.1 vs Los Angeles: 1.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +26.2% more
Los Angeles: 110.3 vs Las Vegas: 87.4
First Downs (L5) +20.4% more
Los Angeles: 21.4 vs Las Vegas: 17.8
Total Yards (L5) +14.4% more
Los Angeles: 338.6 vs Las Vegas: 295.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LV Score 20.2 15
LAR Score 16.7 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.4 / 17.8 15.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 228.3 / 208.5 144.0 / 195.0
Rushing Yards 110.3 / 87.4 115.0 / 122.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.2 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 338.6 / 295.9 259.0 / 317.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 2.1 1.0 / 4.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 4.9 5.0 / 4.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LV Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LV Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LV
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
LV
LAR
LV
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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