Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cowboys @ 49ers DAL @ SF

DALLAS

COWBOYSDAL

3-3  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Oct 27 • 8:20 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

3-4  |  Home

30
Key Game
Dee Winters
KEY GAME

Dee Winters

#53 | Linebacker
@
Jacob Cowing
KEY GAME

Jacob Cowing

#4 | Wide Receiver
Player
Dee Winters None-None
Jacob Cowing None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
COWBOYS --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.6
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.6 points (San Francisco)
CowboysDAL (-3.5) 0 49ersSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

20.4%

49ers Cover

79.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SF -11.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

DAL By 1-6 points

9.6%

DAL By 7-13 points

6.2%

SF By 1-6 points

14.4%

SF By 7-13 points

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
18.78
DALLAS
30.38
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
20
DALLAS
27
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.6
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 49.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 27, 2024 DAL @ SF 24 - 30
Oct 8, 2023 DAL @ SF 10 - 42
Jan 22, 2023 DAL @ SF 12 - 19
Jan 16, 2022 SF @ DAL 23 - 17
Dec 20, 2020 SF @ DAL 33 - 41
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +91.0% more
San Francisco: 148.0 vs Dallas: 77.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +25.7% more
San Francisco: 6.4 vs Dallas: 5.1
Total Yards (L5) +15.0% more
San Francisco: 389.8 vs Dallas: 338.8
Turnovers (L5) +30.5% more
Dallas: 2.7 vs San Francisco: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 18.8 24
SF Score 30.4 30
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.8 / 20.0 19.0 / 18.0
Net Passing Yards 241.8 / 261.3 246.0 / 236.0
Rushing Yards 148.0 / 77.5 223.0 / 56.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 389.8 / 338.8 469.0 / 292.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 2.7 0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 6.4 / 5.1 7.3 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
SF
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +8.0
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
DAL
SF
DAL
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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