Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Steelers NYG @ PIT

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-5  |  Road

18
FINAL
Mon, Oct 28 • 8:15 PM ET
Acrisure Stadium
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

STEELERSPIT

5-2  |  Home

26
Key Game
Calvin Austin III
KEY GAME

Calvin Austin III

#82 | Wide Receiver
@
Chris Boswell
KEY GAME

Chris Boswell

#9 | Place kicker
Player
Calvin Austin III None-None
Chris Boswell None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
📊
STEELERS
0%
GIANTS --
STEELERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
33.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.5
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Pittsburgh)
GiantsNYG (-3.5) 0 SteelersPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

40.0%

Steelers Cover

60.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PIT -3.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

NYG By 1-6 points

15.0%

NYG By 7-13 points

12.5%

PIT By 1-6 points

17.0%

PIT By 7-13 points

17.8%

AI Model Projected Score
14.87
NEW YORK
18.4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
27
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Steelers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Steelers Win
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Steelers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.5
D
Sim Steelers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 33.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 28, 2024 NYG @ PIT 18 - 26
Sep 14, 2020 PIT @ NYG 26 - 16
Dec 4, 2016 NYG @ PIT 14 - 24
Nov 4, 2012 PIT @ NYG 24 - 20
Oct 26, 2008 NYG @ PIT 21 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +39.0% more
Pittsburgh: 141.5 vs New York: 101.8
Yards Per Play (L5) +30.9% more
Pittsburgh: 5.3 vs New York: 4.0
Total Yards (L5) +27.6% more
Pittsburgh: 336.2 vs New York: 263.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +20.5% more
Pittsburgh: 194.7 vs New York: 161.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 14.9 18
PIT Score 18.4 26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.4 / 17.4 20.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 194.7 / 161.6 259.0 / 237.0
Rushing Yards 141.5 / 101.8 167.0 / 157.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.46 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 336.2 / 263.3 426.0 / 394.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 0.8 1.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 4.0 6.8 / 5.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
PIT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
PIT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
PIT
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NYG
PIT
NYG
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
ATS
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Steelers' Michael Pittman Jr. Sidelined Multiple Weeks with Foot…
newsweek 7 hours, 18 minutes ago
Commanders Roll Dice: Jayden Daniels to Start vs. Giants Despite…
newsweek 7 hours, 28 minutes ago
Ronald Acuña Jr. Gets Emotional After Braves' Postseason Exit, E…
ajc 19 hours, 27 minutes ago
Jayden Daniels Returns to Full Practice as Commanders Grapple wi…
headtopics 19 hours, 45 minutes ago
Commanders' Chig Okonkwo Not Fading Away Yet Despite Early Seaso…
yahoo 19 hours, 46 minutes ago