Home / NFL Projections NFL / Raiders @ Bengals LV @ CIN

LAS VEGAS

RAIDERSLV

2-6  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Nov 3 • 1:00 PM ET
Paycor Stadium
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

3-5  |  Home

41
Key Game
AJ Cole
KEY GAME

AJ Cole

#6 | Punter
@
Ryan Rehkow
KEY GAME

Ryan Rehkow

#8 | Punter
Player
AJ Cole None-None
Ryan Rehkow None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
BENGALS
0%
RAIDERS --
BENGALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.8
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.8 points (Cincinnati)
RaidersLV (-3.5) 0 BengalsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

33.9%

Bengals Cover

66.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CIN -5.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

LV By 1-6 points

13.7%

LV By 7-13 points

10.6%

CIN By 1-6 points

16.7%

CIN By 7-13 points

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
15.13
LAS VEGAS
20.93
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
24
LAS VEGAS
21
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bengals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bengals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.8
D
Sim Raiders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 36.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2024 LV @ CIN 24 - 41
Jan 15, 2022 LV @ CIN 19 - 26
Nov 21, 2021 CIN @ LV 32 - 13
Nov 17, 2019 CIN @ LV 10 - 17
Dec 16, 2018 LV @ CIN 16 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Yards Per Play (L5) +17.0% more
Cincinnati: 5.2 vs Las Vegas: 4.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Cincinnati: 0.5 vs Las Vegas: 0.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +10.2% more
Cincinnati: 221.6 vs Las Vegas: 201.0
Total Yards (L5) +8.6% more
Cincinnati: 302.0 vs Las Vegas: 278.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LV Score 15.1 24
CIN Score 20.9 41
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.3 / 17.3 26.0 / 16.0
Net Passing Yards 221.6 / 201.0 243.0 / 157.0
Rushing Yards 80.4 / 77.0 130.0 / 60.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.53 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.59 / 0.41
Total Yards 302.0 / 278.0 373.0 / 217.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 2.2 1.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 4.5 5.3 / 3.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LV Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LV Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.8 ATS +/-: +10.4
CIN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LV
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
LV
CIN
LV
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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