Home / NFL Projections NFL / Saints @ Panthers NO @ CAR

NEW ORLEANS

SAINTSNO

2-6  |  Road

22
FINAL
Sun, Nov 3 • 1:00 PM ET
Bank of America Stadium
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

1-7  |  Home

23
Key Game
Bryan Bresee
KEY GAME

Bryan Bresee

#90 | Defensive Tackle
@
Jaycee Horn
KEY GAME

Jaycee Horn

#8 | Cornerback
Player
Bryan Bresee None-None
Jaycee Horn None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
SAINTS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
34.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (New Orleans)
SaintsNO (-3.5) 0 PanthersCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Saints Cover

80.4%

Panthers Cover

19.6%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around NO -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NO By 1-6 points

14.2%

NO By 7-13 points

19.5%

CAR By 1-6 points

9.3%

CAR By 7-13 points

5.9%

AI Model Projected Score
23.05
NEW ORLEANS
11.06
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
17
NEW ORLEANS
24
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Saints Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Saints (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 34.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 CAR @ NO 17 - 20
Nov 9, 2025 NO @ CAR 17 - 7
Nov 3, 2024 NO @ CAR 22 - 23
Sep 8, 2024 CAR @ NO 10 - 47
Dec 10, 2023 CAR @ NO 6 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +16.6% more
New Orleans: 213.0 vs Carolina: 177.7
Total Yards (L5) +13.1% more
New Orleans: 316.0 vs Carolina: 274.6
Turnovers (L5) +54.5% more
Carolina: 1.9 vs New Orleans: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 23.1 22
CAR Score 11.1 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.7 / 16.7 15.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards 177.7 / 213.0 166.0 / 230.0
Rushing Yards 96.9 / 103.0 80.0 / 197.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.4 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 274.6 / 316.0 246.0 / 427.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 1.2 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.8 / 4.9 4.9 / 5.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.8 ATS +/-: -3.1
CAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.8 ATS +/-: -3.1
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +11.5
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NO
CAR
NO
ML
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
TTL
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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