Home / NFL Projections NFL / Eagles @ Cowboys PHI @ DAL

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

6-2  |  Road

34
FINAL
Sun, Nov 10 • 4:25 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

COWBOYSDAL

3-5  |  Home

6
Key Game
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
@
Brandon Aubrey
KEY GAME

Brandon Aubrey

#17 | Place kicker
Player
Braden Mann None-None
Brandon Aubrey None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
COWBOYS
0%
EAGLES --
COWBOYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Dallas)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 CowboysDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

48.4%

Cowboys Cover

51.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DAL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

PHI By 1-6 points

16.3%

PHI By 7-13 points

14.9%

DAL By 1-6 points

16.6%

DAL By 7-13 points

15.8%

AI Model Projected Score
20.26
PHILADELPHIA
20.82
DALLAS
Simulated Score
24
PHILADELPHIA
27
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cowboys Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cowboys (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.6
D
Sim Cowboys (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 41.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 PHI @ DAL 21 - 24
Sep 4, 2025 DAL @ PHI 20 - 24
Dec 29, 2024 DAL @ PHI 7 - 41
Nov 10, 2024 PHI @ DAL 34 - 6
Dec 10, 2023 PHI @ DAL 13 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +94.0% more
Dallas: 1.6 vs Philadelphia: 0.7
Net Passing Yards (L5) +26.4% more
Dallas: 248.9 vs Philadelphia: 196.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +52.1% more
Philadelphia: 193.2 vs Dallas: 92.6
Yards Per Play (L5) +14.8% more
Philadelphia: 5.9 vs Dallas: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 20.3 34
DAL Score 20.8 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.5 / 20.9 11.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 248.9 / 196.9 49.0 / 161.0
Rushing Yards 92.6 / 193.2 97.0 / 187.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.21 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 341.5 / 390.1 146.0 / 348.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 0.7 5.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.1 / 5.9 2.6 / 5.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
DAL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
DAL Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
PHI
DAL
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
67% 2-1-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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