GREEN BAY
PACKERSGB
6-3 | Road
20
CHICAGO
BEARSCHI
4-5 | Home
19
Key Game
KEY GAME
Daniel Whelan
#19 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Tory Taylor
#19 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Daniel Whelan | None-None |
| Tory Taylor | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
0%
BEARS
100%
PACKERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.9
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.9 points (Green Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GB -5.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)
GB By 1-6 points
16.7%
GB By 7-13 points
18.9%
CHI By 1-6 points
13.6%
CHI By 7-13 points
10.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
27.24
GREEN BAY
Chicago
21.32
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Green Bay
20
GREEN BAY
Chicago
27
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Packers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Packers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.9
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 48.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
GB @ CHI
27 - 31
Dec 20, 2025
GB @ CHI
16 - 22
Dec 7, 2025
CHI @ GB
21 - 28
Jan 5, 2025
CHI @ GB
24 - 22
Nov 17, 2024
GB @ CHI
20 - 19
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+71.4% more
Green Bay: 1.4
vs
Chicago: 0.4
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+43.2% more
Green Bay: 248.9
vs
Chicago: 141.5
Yards Per Play (L5)
+36.6% more
Green Bay: 6.1
vs
Chicago: 3.9
Total Yards (L5)
+36.5% more
Green Bay: 390.9
vs
Chicago: 248.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
27.2
20
CHI Score
21.3
19
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
15.9 / 20.9
23.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards
141.5 / 248.9
212.0 / 260.0
Rushing Yards
106.8 / 142.0
179.0 / 106.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.2 / 0.3
0.56 / 0.2
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards
248.3 / 390.9
391.0 / 366.0
Turnovers
0.4 / 1.4
0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
3.9 / 6.1
5.8 / 8.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
CHI
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
CHI
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
GB
CHI
GB
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3-1
100%
4-0
33%
1-2-1
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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