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CINCINNATI

BENGALSCIN

4-6  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Nov 17 • 8:20 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

CHARGERSLAC

6-3  |  Home

34
Key Game
Ja'Sir Taylor
KEY GAME

Ja'Sir Taylor

#26 | Cornerback
@
JK Scott
KEY GAME

JK Scott

#16 | Punter
Player
Ja'Sir Taylor None-None
JK Scott None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
📊
CHARGERS
0%
BENGALS --
CHARGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (Los Angeles)
BengalsCIN (-3.5) 0 ChargersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bengals Cover

29.1%

Chargers Cover

70.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAC -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

CIN By 1-6 points

12.4%

CIN By 7-13 points

9.0%

LAC By 1-6 points

16.2%

LAC By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
22.14
CINCINNATI
29.84
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
CINCINNATI
27
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Chargers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chargers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Chargers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim Chargers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 17, 2024 CIN @ LAC 27 - 34
Dec 5, 2021 LAC @ CIN 41 - 22
Sep 13, 2020 LAC @ CIN 16 - 13
Dec 9, 2018 CIN @ LAC 21 - 26
Sep 20, 2015 LAC @ CIN 19 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +42.4% more
Los Angeles: 115.3 vs Cincinnati: 80.9
Turnovers (L5) +74.0% more
Cincinnati: 1.0 vs Los Angeles: 0.3
Net Passing Yards (L5) +26.4% more
Cincinnati: 292.8 vs Los Angeles: 215.6
First Downs (L5) +17.0% more
Cincinnati: 22.5 vs Los Angeles: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 22.1 27
LAC Score 29.8 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.7 / 22.5 24.0 / 24.0
Net Passing Yards 215.6 / 292.8 280.0 / 342.0
Rushing Yards 115.3 / 80.9 155.0 / 110.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.27 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 330.9 / 373.8 435.0 / 452.0
Turnovers 0.3 / 1.0 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.6 / 5.6 6.9 / 5.8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
LAC
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +1.3
LAC
0-3-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
LAC
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
CIN
LAC
CIN
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3-1
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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