NEW YORK
METSNYM
89-73 | Road
4
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
93-69 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
METS
100%
BREWERS
0%
METS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
NYM By 1-2 runs
10.0%
NYM By 3-4 runs
5.0%
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.1%
MIL By 3-4 runs
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.35
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
6.55
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.2
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 2
Aug 26, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
MIL @ NYM
2 - 3
Jul 22, 2026
NYM @ MIL
3 - 4
Jul 21, 2026
NYM @ MIL
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.705
OPS
▲
.743
204
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+72.6% more
Milwaukee: 3.7
vs
New York: 2.1
Home Runs (L5)
+62.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.2
vs
New York: 0.6
Errors (L5)
+33.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.6
vs
New York: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+25.2% more
Milwaukee: 13.8
vs
New York: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
3.4
4
MIL Score
6.6
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.5 / 8.1
7.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 8.4
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
13.8 / 11.0
14.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.7 / 2.1
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NYM
MIL
NYM
ML
62%
101-61
50%
79-80
52%
84-78
48%
76-83
ATS
58%
94-68
58%
93-66
48%
78-84
49%
78-81
TTL
40%
62-92-8
55%
80-66-13
50%
77-77-8
51%
74-72-13
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