KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
86-76 | Road
5
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
94-68 | Home
6
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
YANKEES
100%
ROYALS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around KC -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
KC By 1-2 runs
19.2%
KC By 3-4 runs
15.1%
NYY By 1-2 runs
17.4%
NYY By 3-4 runs
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
6.32
KANSAS CITY
New York
5.79
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim
Royals (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 27, 2026
NYY @ KC
7 - 0
May 26, 2026
NYY @ KC
15 - 1
May 25, 2026
NYY @ KC
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
KC @ NYY
0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026
KC @ NYY
4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.718
OPS
▲
1.041
170
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.8% more
Kansas City: 170.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Errors (L5)
+47.0% more
Kansas City: 0.9
vs
New York: 0.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+111.3% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
Home Runs (L5)
+85.0% more
New York: 1.2
vs
Kansas City: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
6.3
5
NYY Score
5.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.7 / 6.3
9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.4
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.7 / 9.9
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 8.1
14.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.4
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
KC
NYY
KC
ML
47%
76-85
55%
89-72
52%
85-77
56%
90-70
ATS
59%
95-66
57%
91-70
53%
86-76
58%
93-67
TTL
53%
81-73-7
58%
90-64-7
53%
82-72-7
54%
83-70-7
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