SAN DIEGO
PADRESSD
93-69 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Home
7
AI Model Win Probability
PADRES
100%
DODGERS
0%
PADRES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
SD By 1-2 runs
16.4%
SD By 3-4 runs
10.7%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Diego
4.39
SAN DIEGO
Los Angeles
5.37
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
San Diego
4
SAN DIEGO
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
SD @ LAD
4 - 2
Sep 23, 2026
SD @ LAD
5 - 1
Sep 22, 2026
SD @ LAD
0 - 7
Jul 5, 2026
SD @ LAD
5 - 2
Jul 4, 2026
SD @ LAD
0 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
San Diego
SD
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
2
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.328
▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.362
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.563
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
.925
▲
OPS
.762
4
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+5000.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
San Diego: 4.0
Walks (L5)
+83.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.8
vs
San Diego: 1.5
Hits (L5)
+41.3% more
Los Angeles: 10.8
vs
San Diego: 7.6
Home Runs (L5)
+38.3% more
Los Angeles: 1.7
vs
San Diego: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SD Score
4.4
5
LAD Score
5.4
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.8 / 7.6
10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.2
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 9.1
8.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
17.8 / 13.6
13.0 / 13.0
Walks
2.8 / 1.5
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SD
94-74-0
(56.0%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SD
Advantage
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SD
78-85-5
O: 47.9% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
SD
LAD
SD
ML
56%
92-73
51%
85-83
48%
79-87
51%
85-82
ATS
59%
98-67
54%
91-77
43%
72-94
55%
92-75
TTL
48%
77-82-6
51%
82-80-6
44%
70-90-6
54%
86-74-6
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