NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
94-68 | Road
3
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
86-76 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
0%
ROYALS
100%
YANKEES
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.1%
NYY By 3-4 runs
14.9%
KC By 1-2 runs
17.6%
KC By 3-4 runs
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
6.45
NEW YORK
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 27, 2026
NYY @ KC
7 - 0
May 26, 2026
NYY @ KC
15 - 1
May 25, 2026
NYY @ KC
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
KC @ NYY
0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026
KC @ NYY
4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Kansas City
KC
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
1.041
▲
OPS
.718
2
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+52.7% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
Errors (L5)
+35.0% more
New York: 0.8
vs
Kansas City: 0.4
Home Runs (L5)
+34.9% more
New York: 1.1
vs
Kansas City: 0.7
OPS (Season)
+32.3%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Kansas City: 71.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
6.5
3
KC Score
6.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.5 / 7.3
6.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.1
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 11.3
5.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
10.9 / 11.7
10.0 / 8.0
Walks
4.5 / 3.1
9.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
NYY
KC
NYY
ML
55%
89-72
47%
76-85
56%
90-70
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
95-66
58%
93-67
53%
86-76
TTL
58%
90-64-7
53%
81-73-7
54%
83-70-7
53%
82-72-7
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