LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Road
8
SAN DIEGO
PADRESSD
93-69 | Home
0
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
PADRES
100%
DODGERS
--
PADRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
17.4%
SD By 1-2 runs
15.1%
SD By 3-4 runs
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
6.48
LOS ANGELES
San Diego
5.03
SAN DIEGO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
San Diego
5
SAN DIEGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Padres
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Padres (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
SD @ LAD
4 - 2
Sep 23, 2026
SD @ LAD
5 - 1
Sep 22, 2026
SD @ LAD
0 - 7
Jul 5, 2026
SD @ LAD
5 - 2
Jul 4, 2026
SD @ LAD
0 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
San Diego
SD
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲
.328
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.362
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.563
.762
OPS
▲
.925
204
▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
San Diego: 4.0
Errors (L5)
+21.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.4
vs
San Diego: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+41.8% more
San Diego: 2.2
vs
Los Angeles: 1.5
Total Bases (L5)
+29.0% more
San Diego: 16.7
vs
Los Angeles: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
6.5
8
SD Score
5.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.5 / 7.8
7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
2.2 / 1.5
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 6.7
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
16.7 / 13.0
10.0 / 22.0
Walks
2.2 / 2.3
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
SD
94-74-0
(56.0%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
SD
Advantage
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
SD
78-85-5
O: 47.9% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SD
LAD
SD
LAD
ML
51%
85-83
56%
92-73
51%
85-82
48%
79-87
ATS
54%
91-77
59%
98-67
55%
92-75
43%
72-94
TTL
51%
82-80-6
48%
77-82-6
54%
86-74-6
44%
70-90-6
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