NEW YORK
METSNYM
89-73 | Road
7
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
METS
100%
DODGERS
0%
METS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
NYM By 1-2 runs
8.6%
NYM By 3-4 runs
4.0%
LAD By 1-2 runs
17.0%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.91
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
7.61
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.7
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
LAD @ NYM
3 - 8
Jul 25, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 3
Jul 24, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
NYM @ LAD
2 - 8
Apr 14, 2026
NYM @ LAD
1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.705
OPS
▲
.762
204
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+32.7% more
Los Angeles: 1.3
vs
New York: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+19.8% more
Los Angeles: 8.0
vs
New York: 6.7
Total Bases (L5)
+17.9% more
Los Angeles: 12.7
vs
New York: 10.7
Runs per Game (Season)
+14.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
New York: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
3.9
7
LAD Score
7.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.0 / 6.7
5.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 1.0
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 8.4
6.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.7 / 10.7
8.0 / 19.0
Walks
2.2 / 4.8
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
NYM
LAD
NYM
ML
56%
92-73
50%
79-80
48%
79-87
48%
76-83
ATS
59%
98-67
58%
93-66
43%
72-94
49%
78-81
TTL
48%
77-82-6
55%
80-66-13
44%
70-90-6
51%
74-72-13
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