CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
92-69 | Road
2
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
94-68 | Home
5
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
YANKEES
0%
GUARDIANS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -4.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
CLE By 1-2 runs
7.2%
CLE By 3-4 runs
3.2%
NYY By 1-2 runs
15.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
1.37
CLEVELAND
New York
5.6
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.2
D
Sim
Guardians (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 10, 2026
NYY @ CLE
8 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
NYY @ CLE
3 - 2
Jun 8, 2026
NYY @ CLE
7 - 5
Jun 4, 2026
CLE @ NYY
1 - 2
Jun 3, 2026
CLE @ NYY
5 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.696
OPS
▲
1.041
162
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+114.8% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
Slugging Pct (Season)
+21.4%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Cleveland: 38.0%
Batting Avg (Season)
+13.6%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Cleveland: 23.9%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+13.1%
New York: 44.7%
vs
Cleveland: 31.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
1.4
2
NYY Score
5.6
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 8.8
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.0
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 11.9
14.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.6 / 13.0
12.0 / 9.0
Walks
1.8 / 4.4
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
CLE
NYY
CLE
ML
47%
76-85
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
49%
80-82
ATS
59%
95-66
58%
93-68
53%
86-76
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
81-73-7
55%
88-71-2
53%
82-72-7
43%
69-90-2
Contextual Game News
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