CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
92-69 | Road
3
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
94-68 | Home
6
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
YANKEES
0%
GUARDIANS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
CLE By 1-2 runs
8.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
4.1%
NYY By 1-2 runs
17.1%
NYY By 3-4 runs
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
1.93
CLEVELAND
New York
5.59
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.7
D
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 10, 2026
NYY @ CLE
8 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
NYY @ CLE
3 - 2
Jun 8, 2026
NYY @ CLE
7 - 5
Jun 4, 2026
CLE @ NYY
1 - 2
Jun 3, 2026
CLE @ NYY
5 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.696
OPS
▲
1.041
162
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+114.8% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
Errors (L5)
+36.0% more
New York: 0.6
vs
Cleveland: 0.2
Slugging Pct (Season)
+21.4%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Cleveland: 38.0%
Home Runs (L5)
+15.0% more
New York: 1.1
vs
Cleveland: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
1.9
3
NYY Score
5.6
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.2
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
6.5 / 7.8
11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.0
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.3 / 11.0
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.1 / 11.7
18.0 / 11.0
Walks
1.5 / 5.3
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
CLE
NYY
CLE
ML
47%
76-85
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
49%
80-82
ATS
59%
95-66
58%
93-68
53%
86-76
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
81-73-7
55%
88-71-2
53%
82-72-7
43%
69-90-2
Contextual Game News
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