LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Road
10
NEW YORK
METSNYM
89-73 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
METS
100%
DODGERS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.5%
NYM By 1-2 runs
11.2%
NYM By 3-4 runs
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
7.11
LOS ANGELES
New York
4.3
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.8
D
Sim
Mets (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
LAD @ NYM
3 - 8
Jul 25, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 3
Jul 24, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
NYM @ LAD
2 - 8
Apr 14, 2026
NYM @ LAD
1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.762
▲
OPS
.705
204
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+51.1% more
Los Angeles: 1.8
vs
New York: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+24.8% more
Los Angeles: 13.7
vs
New York: 10.3
Hits (L5)
+15.8% more
Los Angeles: 8.0
vs
New York: 6.7
Runs per Game (Season)
+12.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
New York: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
7.1
10
NYM Score
4.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.7 / 8.0
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.8
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 9.0
11.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
10.3 / 13.7
13.0 / 21.0
Walks
6.3 / 3.9
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYM
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
LAD
NYM
LAD
ML
50%
79-80
56%
92-73
48%
76-83
48%
79-87
ATS
58%
93-66
59%
98-67
49%
78-81
43%
72-94
TTL
55%
80-66-13
48%
77-82-6
51%
74-72-13
44%
70-90-6
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