NEW YORK
METSNYM
89-73 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Home
10
AI Model Win Probability
METS
0%
DODGERS
100%
METS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYM -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
NYM By 1-2 runs
18.8%
NYM By 3-4 runs
14.3%
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.0%
LAD By 3-4 runs
12.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.43
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
5.17
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mets (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
LAD @ NYM
3 - 8
Jul 25, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 3
Jul 24, 2026
LAD @ NYM
4 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
NYM @ LAD
2 - 8
Apr 14, 2026
NYM @ LAD
1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.705
OPS
▲
.762
204
Home Runs
204
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+42.0% more
New York: 0.5
vs
Los Angeles: 0.0
Walks (L5)
+37.2% more
New York: 6.5
vs
Los Angeles: 4.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+33.8% more
New York: 10.0
vs
Los Angeles: 6.7
Home Runs (L5)
+130.0% more
Los Angeles: 2.3
vs
New York: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
5.4
5
LAD Score
5.2
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 9.9
11.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 1.0
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 10.0
9.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
17.1 / 15.8
19.0 / 14.0
Walks
4.1 / 6.5
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
NYM
LAD
NYM
ML
56%
92-73
50%
79-80
48%
79-87
48%
76-83
ATS
59%
98-67
58%
93-66
43%
72-94
49%
78-81
TTL
48%
77-82-6
55%
80-66-13
44%
70-90-6
51%
74-72-13
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