NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
94-68 | Road
3
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Home
6
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
100%
DODGERS
0%
YANKEES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
NYY By 1-2 runs
15.8%
NYY By 3-4 runs
10.1%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
16.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.33
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
6.52
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
LAD @ NYY
1 - 2
Jul 17, 2026
LAD @ NYY
2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025
NYY @ LAD
7 - 3
May 31, 2025
NYY @ LAD
2 - 18
May 30, 2025
NYY @ LAD
5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
1.041
▲
OPS
.762
2
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+10100.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Hits (L5)
+15.5% more
Los Angeles: 9.8
vs
New York: 8.5
Total Bases (L5)
+13.7% more
Los Angeles: 17.7
vs
New York: 15.6
Home Runs (L5)
+11.3% more
Los Angeles: 2.2
vs
New York: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.3
3
LAD Score
6.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.8 / 8.5
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
2.2 / 2.0
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 9.4
13.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
17.7 / 15.6
16.0 / 14.0
Walks
4.7 / 5.2
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
NYY
LAD
NYY
ML
56%
92-73
47%
76-85
48%
79-87
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
98-67
59%
95-66
43%
72-94
53%
86-76
TTL
48%
77-82-6
53%
81-73-7
44%
70-90-6
53%
82-72-7
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