LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
98-64 | Road
4
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
94-68 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
0%
YANKEES
100%
DODGERS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.1%
LAD By 3-4 runs
14.9%
NYY By 1-2 runs
17.5%
NYY By 3-4 runs
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
6.43
LOS ANGELES
New York
5.95
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
D
Sim
Yankees (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
LAD @ NYY
1 - 2
Jul 17, 2026
LAD @ NYY
2 - 1
Jun 1, 2025
NYY @ LAD
7 - 3
May 31, 2025
NYY @ LAD
2 - 18
May 30, 2025
NYY @ LAD
5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.762
OPS
▲
1.041
204
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
New York: 2.0
Home Runs (L5)
+35.2% more
Los Angeles: 2.2
vs
New York: 1.4
Total Bases (L5)
+30.3% more
Los Angeles: 17.8
vs
New York: 12.4
Strikeouts (L5)
+17.3% more
Los Angeles: 8.5
vs
New York: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
6.4
4
NYY Score
6.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.3 / 8.6
5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 2.2
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.1 / 8.5
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 17.8
9.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.1 / 3.6
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
LAD
NYY
LAD
ML
47%
76-85
56%
92-73
52%
85-77
48%
79-87
ATS
59%
95-66
59%
98-67
53%
86-76
43%
72-94
TTL
53%
81-73-7
48%
77-82-6
53%
82-72-7
44%
70-90-6
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