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LA

CLIPPERSLAC

19-14  |  Road

98
FINAL
Thu, Jan 2 • 8:00 PM ET
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OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

27-5  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
📊
THUNDER
0%
CLIPPERS --
THUNDER --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.7
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.7 points (Oklahoma City)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 ThunderOKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

25.2%

Thunder Cover

74.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKC -6.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

LAC By 1-7 points

15.8%

LAC By 8-14 points

6.1%

OKC By 1-7 points

26.4%

OKC By 8-14 points

25.0%

AI Model Projected Score
108.25
LA
114.92
OKLAHOMA CITY
Simulated Score
112
LA
118
OKLAHOMA CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thunder Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Thunder (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.7
D
Sim Thunder (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 223.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 OKC @ LAC 128 - 110
Dec 18, 2025 LAC @ OKC 101 - 122
Nov 4, 2025 OKC @ LAC 126 - 107
Mar 23, 2025 OKC @ LAC 103 - 101
Jan 2, 2025 LAC @ OKC 98 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.9% more
Oklahoma City: 27.0 vs LA: 20.6
Steals (L5) +28.0% more
Oklahoma City: 11.8 vs LA: 9.2
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Oklahoma City: 47.4% vs LA: 43.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.5%
Oklahoma City: 83.8% vs LA: 81.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 108.3 98
OKC Score 114.9 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 31.9 36.8 / 34.4
Assists 27.0 / 20.6 29.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.5 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 43.7 50.0 / 46.9
Free Throw % 83.8 / 81.3 80.0 / 64.7
Rebounding 43.6 / 41.6 35.0 / 45.0
Steals 11.8 / 9.2 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 16.7 10.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
OKC
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKC
LAC
OKC
LAC
ML
70% 80-34
60% 59-40
48% 46-49
55% 45-37
ATS
73% 83-30-1
66% 65-33-1
48% 46-49
55% 45-37
TTL
67% 76-38
59% 58-40-1
100% 95-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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