Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Thunder BKN @ OKC

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

14-28  |  Road

101
FINAL
Sun, Jan 19 • 7:00 PM ET
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OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

34-7  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
THUNDER
0%
NETS --
THUNDER --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.3
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.3 points (Oklahoma City)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 ThunderOKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

15.2%

Thunder Cover

84.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKC -10.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

BKN By 1-7 points

10.3%

BKN By 8-14 points

3.1%

OKC By 1-7 points

22.7%

OKC By 8-14 points

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
105.11
BROOKLYN
115.37
OKLAHOMA CITY
Simulated Score
110
BROOKLYN
125
OKLAHOMA CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thunder Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Thunder (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.3
D
Sim Thunder (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 220.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 18, 2026 OKC @ BKN 121 - 92
Feb 20, 2026 BKN @ OKC 86 - 105
Feb 26, 2025 OKC @ BKN 129 - 121
Jan 19, 2025 BKN @ OKC 101 - 127
Jan 5, 2024 OKC @ BKN 115 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +27.0% more
Oklahoma City: 9.5 vs Brooklyn: 7.5
Free Throw % (L5) +9.8%
Oklahoma City: 81.9% vs Brooklyn: 72.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Oklahoma City: 47.1% vs Brooklyn: 42.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Oklahoma City: 39.2% vs Brooklyn: 34.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 105.1 101
OKC Score 115.4 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.2 / 34.6 44.2 / 27.9
Assists 26.0 / 25.4 37.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.0 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 42.2 55.2 / 42.5
Free Throw % 81.9 / 72.1 92.3 / 78.9
Rebounding 43.6 / 43.7 43.0 / 41.0
Steals 9.5 / 7.5 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 16.8 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
OKC Advantage
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKC
BKN
OKC
BKN
ML
70% 80-34
53% 50-45
48% 46-49
59% 48-34
ATS
73% 83-30-1
52% 48-44-3
48% 46-49
59% 48-34
TTL
67% 76-38
57% 54-41
100% 95-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
bleacherreport 6 hours, 42 minutes ago
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
bleacherreport 6 hours, 50 minutes ago
Charles Lee Praises Naz Reid's Seamless Fit with Hornets
sportingnews 1 day, 6 hours ago
Brooks Barnhizer Shines in Thunder Preseason Debut, Sparks Hope …
si 1 day, 18 hours ago
Thunder's Young Core Shines in Preseason Loss to Pelicans
yahoo 1 day, 18 hours ago