VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
14-6-0 | Road
1
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
12-10-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alexandar Georgiev
#40 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 0.92 | 0.971 | -- |
| Alexandar Georgiev | None-None | 0.92 | 0.947 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.92
GAA
0.92
0.971 Ldr
Save %
0.947
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
66%
AVALANCHE
34%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
18.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
21.5%
COL By 1 goal
16.3%
COL By 2-3 goals
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.31
VEGAS
Colorado
3.05
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
B
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 26, 2026
COL @ VGK
1 - 2
May 24, 2026
COL @ VGK
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 1
May 20, 2026
VGK @ COL
4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+40.9% more
Vegas: 25.8
vs
Colorado: 15.2
Power Play % (L5)
+30.2%
Vegas: 39.0%
vs
Colorado: 8.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+29.9% more
Vegas: 5.7
vs
Colorado: 4.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.4% more
Vegas: 31.0
vs
Colorado: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.3
1
COL Score
3.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 16.7
11.0 / 28.0
Faceoff %
39.0 / 49.6
52.0 / 48.0
Hits
15.2 / 25.8
10.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
876.0 / 3897.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.9 / 31.0
34.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 5.7
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
VGK
COL
VGK
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Two Goals and an…
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3