CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
12-7-0 | Road
2
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
9-9-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.10 | 0.879 | -- |
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.00 | 0.931 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.10
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.879
Save %
Ldr 0.931
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
63%
BLUE JACKETS
37%
FLAMES
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
CGY By 1 goal
8.2%
CGY By 2-3 goals
5.2%
CBJ By 1 goal
18.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
35.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.01
CALGARY
Columbus
3.68
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
37% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.7
B
Sim
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
CGY @ CBJ
3 - 5
Nov 5, 2025
CBJ @ CGY
1 - 5
Dec 3, 2024
CBJ @ CGY
0 - 3
Nov 29, 2024
CGY @ CBJ
2 - 5
Jan 25, 2024
CBJ @ CGY
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+58.5% more
Columbus: 22.3
vs
Calgary: 14.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Columbus: 46.1%
vs
Calgary: 41.6%
Power Play % (L5)
+21.5%
Calgary: 43.3%
vs
Columbus: 21.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+14.3% more
Calgary: 5.2
vs
Columbus: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.0
2
CBJ Score
3.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 16.9
20.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
46.1 / 41.6
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
22.3 / 14.1
24.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
21.8 / 43.3
100.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 29.9
34.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.2
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
CGY
CBJ
CGY
ML
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-2
0%
0-3
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