WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
18-5-0 | Road
3
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
14-6-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Neal Pionk
#4 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Pionk | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 3.00 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
61%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
39%
JETS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
74%
Under 0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
WPG By 1 goal
11.8%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.0%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
30.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
1.89
WINNIPEG
Vegas
2.94
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
C
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
WPG @ VGK
2 - 6
Mar 24, 2026
VGK @ WPG
1 - 4
Jan 6, 2026
VGK @ WPG
4 - 3
Apr 3, 2025
WPG @ VGK
4 - 0
Dec 12, 2024
VGK @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+48.1% more
Vegas: 20.4
vs
Winnipeg: 13.8
Hits (L5)
+16.6% more
Vegas: 20.5
vs
Winnipeg: 17.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.8% more
Vegas: 27.0
vs
Winnipeg: 23.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Vegas: 49.1%
vs
Winnipeg: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
1.9
3
VGK Score
2.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.4 / 13.8
8.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 47.4
68.8 / 31.3
Hits
20.5 / 17.6
17.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
2598.0 / 2569.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.0 / 23.7
30.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.4
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
WPG
VGK
WPG
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
