COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
11-9-0 | Road
0
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
12-9-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.04 | 0.905 | -- |
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.04
GAA
--
0.905
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
48%
FLAMES
52%
BLUE JACKETS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
CBJ By 1 goal
19.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
30.0%
CGY By 1 goal
11.9%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3.94
COLUMBUS
Calgary
2.9
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
48% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
CGY @ CBJ
3 - 5
Nov 5, 2025
CBJ @ CGY
1 - 5
Dec 3, 2024
CBJ @ CGY
0 - 3
Nov 29, 2024
CGY @ CBJ
2 - 5
Jan 25, 2024
CBJ @ CGY
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+29.5% more
Columbus: 25.3
vs
Calgary: 17.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.8% more
Columbus: 16.0
vs
Calgary: 14.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.7% more
Columbus: 33.3
vs
Calgary: 30.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.1%
Columbus: 50.1%
vs
Calgary: 45.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.9
0
CGY Score
2.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 16.0
14.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
45.0 / 50.1
59.6 / 40.4
Hits
17.8 / 25.3
21.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
30.4 / 31.9
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.4 / 33.3
22.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
8.5 / 4.7
8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
CBJ
CGY
CBJ
ML
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
0%
0-3
0%
0-2
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