VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

16-7-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Dec 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

10-10-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Shea Theodore
GOALTENDER

Shea Theodore

#27 | Defense
@
Jackson LaCombe
GOALTENDER

Jackson LaCombe

#2 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Shea Theodore None-None -- -- --
Jackson LaCombe None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
70%
📊
DUCKS
30%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Vegas)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

65.5%

Ducks Cover

34.5%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

VGK By 1 goal

19.6%

VGK By 2-3 goals

27.5%

ANA By 1 goal

13.3%

ANA By 2-3 goals

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.09
VEGAS
2.29
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
VEGAS
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Knights Win
70% Win Prob
C
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Golden Knights (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
A
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.4
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 ANA @ VGK 4 - 3
May 14, 2026 VGK @ ANA 5 - 1
May 10, 2026 VGK @ ANA 3 - 4
May 8, 2026 VGK @ ANA 6 - 2
May 6, 2026 ANA @ VGK 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +12.2% more
Vegas: 5.3 vs Anaheim: 4.7
Faceoff % (L5) +8.4%
Vegas: 52.4% vs Anaheim: 44.0%
Hits (L5) +113.9% more
Anaheim: 29.3 vs Vegas: 13.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.8% more
Anaheim: 30.5 vs Vegas: 24.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 3.1 4
ANA Score 2.3 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.6 / 16.6 14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 44.0 / 52.4 32.7 / 67.3
Hits 29.3 / 13.7 17.0 / 11.0
Power Play % 2118.0 / 770.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 30.5 / 24.2 20.0 / 33.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 5.3 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable