VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
18-7-0 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
21-9-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 1.89 | 0.900 | -- |
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 2.82 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.89 Ldr
GAA
2.82
0.900
Save %
Ldr 0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
52%
JETS
48%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
30.8%
WPG By 1 goal
11.4%
WPG By 2-3 goals
8.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
4.05
VEGAS
Winnipeg
2.93
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
B
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
WPG @ VGK
2 - 6
Mar 24, 2026
VGK @ WPG
1 - 4
Jan 6, 2026
VGK @ WPG
4 - 3
Apr 3, 2025
WPG @ VGK
4 - 0
Dec 12, 2024
VGK @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+22.6% more
Vegas: 6.2
vs
Winnipeg: 4.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.2% more
Vegas: 17.1
vs
Winnipeg: 14.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.8%
Vegas: 54.9%
vs
Winnipeg: 52.1%
Hits (L5)
+51.2% more
Winnipeg: 22.5
vs
Vegas: 14.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
4.1
3
WPG Score
2.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 17.1
25.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
52.1 / 54.9
46.0 / 54.0
Hits
22.5 / 14.9
31.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
25.7 / 14.5
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
29.4 / 27.4
20.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 6.2
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
VGK
WPG
VGK
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
