VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
19-8-0 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
20-6-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 3.12 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.12
--
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
42%
WILD
58%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
28.7%
MIN By 1 goal
12.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
10.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.32
VEGAS
Minnesota
2.4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
42% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
A
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+22.5% more
Vegas: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.3% more
Vegas: 34.2
vs
Minnesota: 28.0
Hits (L5)
+9.8% more
Vegas: 22.9
vs
Minnesota: 20.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.7%
Vegas: 55.6%
vs
Minnesota: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.3
3
MIN Score
2.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 14.0
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
45.9 / 55.6
45.3 / 54.7
Hits
20.7 / 22.9
13.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
10.8 / 12.0
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 34.2
22.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 6.0
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
VGK
MIN
VGK
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Juszczyk Wins Appeal, Padres Stay Alive, Messi Bids Farewell in …
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…