VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-9-6 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
20-8-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 2.01 | 0.900 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 1.00 | 0.950 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.900
Save %
Ldr 0.950
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
42%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
58%
CANUCKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VAN By 1 goal
16.8%
VAN By 2-3 goals
17.2%
VGK By 1 goal
18.0%
VGK By 2-3 goals
20.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.68
VANCOUVER
Vegas
2.82
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
A
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
VGK @ VAN
3 - 2
Apr 7, 2026
VGK @ VAN
2 - 1
Mar 30, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2026
VAN @ VGK
2 - 5
Apr 16, 2025
VGK @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+32.7% more
Vegas: 31.8
vs
Vancouver: 24.0
Takeaways (L5)
+31.5% more
Vegas: 7.0
vs
Vancouver: 5.3
Power Play % (L5)
+14.8%
Vegas: 41.3%
vs
Vancouver: 26.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.8%
Vegas: 55.3%
vs
Vancouver: 53.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.7
1
VGK Score
2.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 17.8
20.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
55.3 / 53.5
51.3 / 48.7
Hits
22.0 / 30.2
16.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
4134.0 / 2650.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.8 / 24.0
21.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
7.0 / 5.3
8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
VAN
VGK
VAN
ML
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
ATS
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
TTL
20%
1-4
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
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