ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
13-15-4 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
22-8-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 4.51 | 0.864 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 1.00 | 0.969 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.51
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.864
Save %
Ldr 0.969
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
24%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
76%
DUCKS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
17.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
19.3%
VGK By 1 goal
17.2%
VGK By 2-3 goals
18.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.46
ANAHEIM
Vegas
2.4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Loss
24% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ducks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
B
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 2, 2026
ANA @ VGK
4 - 3
May 14, 2026
VGK @ ANA
5 - 1
May 10, 2026
VGK @ ANA
3 - 4
May 8, 2026
VGK @ ANA
6 - 2
May 6, 2026
ANA @ VGK
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+27.1% more
Anaheim: 23.8
vs
Vegas: 17.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.5% more
Anaheim: 17.1
vs
Vegas: 15.6
Takeaways (L5)
+19.4% more
Vegas: 5.5
vs
Anaheim: 4.6
Power Play % (L5)
+4.7%
Vegas: 18.4%
vs
Anaheim: 13.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.5
1
VGK Score
2.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 17.1
16.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 46.7
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
17.3 / 23.8
13.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
1837.0 / 1368.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.1 / 30.1
33.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
ANA
VGK
ANA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
!role~Preview!mt~photo!fmt~JPEG%20Baseline)
Flyers Land Michael Bunting in Bid to Stop Early Season Skid