CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
17-11-7 | Road
0
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
24-8-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Zach Whitecloud
#28 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Whitecloud | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
34%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
66%
FLAMES
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
CGY By 1 goal
15.9%
CGY By 2-3 goals
15.2%
VGK By 1 goal
18.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
22.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.42
CALGARY
Vegas
2.75
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
A
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
CGY @ VGK
3 - 6
Dec 20, 2025
VGK @ CGY
3 - 6
Oct 18, 2025
CGY @ VGK
1 - 6
Oct 14, 2025
VGK @ CGY
4 - 2
Apr 15, 2025
VGK @ CGY
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.7% more
Vegas: 18.8
vs
Calgary: 15.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.8% more
Vegas: 32.7
vs
Calgary: 30.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.4%
Vegas: 49.5%
vs
Calgary: 44.1%
Hits (L5)
+37.6% more
Calgary: 22.8
vs
Vegas: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.4
0
VGK Score
2.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.8 / 15.4
17.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
49.5 / 44.1
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
14.3 / 22.8
12.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
8.2 / 25.7
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 30.1
37.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 5.0
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CGY
VGK
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Two Goals and an…
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3