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DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

15-18-4  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Jan 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

16-16-6  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Zachary Aston-Reese
GOALTENDER

Zachary Aston-Reese

#11 | LW
@
Elvis Merzlikins
GOALTENDER

Elvis Merzlikins

#90 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Zachary Aston-Reese None-None -- -- --
Elvis Merzlikins None-None 5.05 0.808 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 5.05
-- Save % 0.808
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
45%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
55%
RED WINGS --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 38%
Under 0 63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Detroit)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

57.9%

Blue Jackets Cover

42.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1 goal

18.9%

DET By 2-3 goals

23.1%

CBJ By 1 goal

15.5%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

14.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.01
DETROIT
2.61
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
2
DETROIT
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Red Wings Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Red Wings (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
B
Sim Blue Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 CBJ @ DET 4 - 3
Dec 4, 2025 DET @ CBJ 5 - 6
Nov 22, 2025 CBJ @ DET 3 - 4
Mar 1, 2025 DET @ CBJ 3 - 5
Feb 27, 2025 CBJ @ DET 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +2.1%
Detroit: 53.4% vs Columbus: 51.3%
Takeaways (L5) +49.9% more
Columbus: 6.0 vs Detroit: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.0 5
CBJ Score 2.6 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.3 / 15.6 18.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 51.3 / 53.4 51.0 / 49.0
Hits 17.5 / 18.1 18.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 33.4 / 34.0 50.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 26.7 / 24.8 25.0 / 26.0
Takeaways 6.0 / 4.0 4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
DET
CBJ
DET
ML
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
100% 2-0
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 1-1
0% 0-3
0% 0-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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