COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
17-17-6 | Road
4
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
17-17-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Owen Pickering
#38 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.77 | 0.870 | -- |
| Owen Pickering | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77
GAA
--
0.870
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
50%
PENGUINS
50%
BLUE JACKETS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.0%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.2%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3.09
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
4.11
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.2
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.2% more
Columbus: 30.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 25.5
Power Play % (L5)
+14.2%
Columbus: 42.6%
vs
Pittsburgh: 28.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.6% more
Columbus: 18.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 16.3
Takeaways (L5)
+8.1% more
Columbus: 6.6
vs
Pittsburgh: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.1
4
PIT Score
4.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 18.8
11.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
46.8 / 49.0
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
17.2 / 16.4
16.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
28.4 / 42.6
100.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
25.5 / 30.4
23.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 6.6
0.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
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