NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
15-18-7 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
28-9-3 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 3.08 | 0.850 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
3.08
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.850
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
21%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
79%
ISLANDERS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
NYI By 1 goal
9.8%
NYI By 2-3 goals
6.6%
VGK By 1 goal
19.4%
VGK By 2-3 goals
33.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.32
NEW YORK
Vegas
3.72
VEGAS
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
79% Win Prob
B
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
C
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
VGK @ NYI
4 - 5
Nov 13, 2025
NYI @ VGK
4 - 3
Feb 4, 2025
VGK @ NYI
1 - 2
Jan 9, 2025
NYI @ VGK
4 - 0
Jan 23, 2024
VGK @ NYI
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+35.6%
Vegas: 36.1%
vs
New York: 0.4%
Hits (L5)
+23.4% more
Vegas: 20.7
vs
New York: 16.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.3% more
Vegas: 17.2
vs
New York: 15.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.9%
Vegas: 54.1%
vs
New York: 51.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.3
4
VGK Score
3.7
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 15.6
8.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
54.1 / 51.1
36.4 / 63.6
Hits
20.7 / 16.7
12.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
3605.0 / 42.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
34.9 / 33.4
30.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 5.8
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
NYI
VGK
NYI
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0-1
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