NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
19-20-2 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
28-10-3 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.967 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.967
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
25%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
75%
RANGERS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
NYR By 1 goal
9.2%
NYR By 2-3 goals
6.1%
VGK By 1 goal
19.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
1.85
NEW YORK
Vegas
3.35
VEGAS
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
75% Win Prob
B
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
VGK @ NYR
3 - 2
Nov 18, 2025
NYR @ VGK
2 - 3
Feb 2, 2025
VGK @ NYR
2 - 4
Jan 11, 2025
NYR @ VGK
2 - 1
Jan 26, 2024
VGK @ NYR
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+43.2% more
Vegas: 4.3
vs
New York: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.7% more
Vegas: 33.3
vs
New York: 30.6
Hits (L5)
+30.6% more
New York: 25.6
vs
Vegas: 17.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.6% more
New York: 17.3
vs
Vegas: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
1.9
2
VGK Score
3.4
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 17.3
11.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 55.6
67.3 / 32.7
Hits
17.8 / 25.6
21.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
24.0 / 34.3
33.3 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
33.3 / 30.6
30.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 3.0
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
NYR
VGK
NYR
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
TTL
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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