MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
27-12-4 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
28-11-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 4.00 | 0.892 | -- |
| Adin Hill | None-None | 1.00 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.892
Save %
Ldr 0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
47%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
53%
WILD
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
MIN By 1 goal
14.4%
MIN By 2-3 goals
12.6%
VGK By 1 goal
19.4%
VGK By 2-3 goals
25.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.22
MINNESOTA
Vegas
2.83
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
C
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
A
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Apr 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.3% more
Vegas: 32.2
vs
Minnesota: 25.5
Power Play % (L5)
+21.4%
Vegas: 27.1%
vs
Minnesota: 5.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.0%
Vegas: 54.6%
vs
Minnesota: 47.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+39.8% more
Minnesota: 6.5
vs
Vegas: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.2
1
VGK Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.1 / 15.8
10.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.6 / 47.6
44.0 / 56.0
Hits
18.9 / 19.7
23.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
27.1 / 5.7
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.2 / 25.5
37.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 6.5
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
MIN
VGK
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
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