VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
29-11-3 | Road
3
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
13-22-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Justus Annunen
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Justus Annunen | None-None | 3.00 | 0.864 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.864
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
82%
PREDATORS
18%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
PREDATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
18.4%
VGK By 2-3 goals
21.4%
NSH By 1 goal
16.3%
NSH By 2-3 goals
16.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.45
VEGAS
Nashville
2.2
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Nashville
4
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
82% Win Prob
A
Sim
Predators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Predators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
A
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 21, 2026
VGK @ NSH
1 - 4
Jan 17, 2026
NSH @ VGK
2 - 7
Dec 31, 2025
NSH @ VGK
4 - 2
Apr 12, 2025
NSH @ VGK
3 - 5
Mar 29, 2025
VGK @ NSH
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.1% more
Vegas: 33.8
vs
Nashville: 29.7
Hits (L5)
+10.2% more
Vegas: 20.2
vs
Nashville: 18.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.9%
Vegas: 51.0%
vs
Nashville: 48.1%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.9% more
Nashville: 15.2
vs
Vegas: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.5
3
NSH Score
2.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 12.1
14.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
48.1 / 51.0
54.7 / 45.3
Hits
18.2 / 20.2
18.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
31.7 / 31.4
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.7 / 33.8
23.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 2.9
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
VGK
NSH
VGK
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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