VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
29-13-3 | Road
3
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
14-28-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Alex Vlasic
#72 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alex Vlasic | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
82%
BLACKHAWKS
18%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
18.8%
VGK By 2-3 goals
22.7%
CHI By 1 goal
15.7%
CHI By 2-3 goals
14.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.46
VEGAS
Chicago
2.09
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
82% Win Prob
A
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
CHI @ VGK
2 - 5
Mar 14, 2026
CHI @ VGK
0 - 4
Jan 4, 2026
VGK @ CHI
2 - 3
Dec 2, 2025
CHI @ VGK
3 - 4
Mar 28, 2025
VGK @ CHI
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+23.9% more
Vegas: 5.6
vs
Chicago: 4.3
Power Play % (L5)
+22.8%
Vegas: 36.2%
vs
Chicago: 13.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.5% more
Vegas: 30.2
vs
Chicago: 23.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.9% more
Vegas: 16.9
vs
Chicago: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.5
3
CHI Score
2.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.4 / 16.9
23.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
47.3 / 45.7
58.3 / 41.7
Hits
26.7 / 19.3
29.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
13.4 / 36.2
66.7 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
23.8 / 30.2
23.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 5.6
2.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
VGK
CHI
VGK
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming