COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
22-17-7 | Road
1
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
18-20-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.18 | 0.880 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.962 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.18
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.880
Save %
Ldr 0.962
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
59%
ISLANDERS
41%
BLUE JACKETS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.6%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
10.0%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
28.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2.41
COLUMBUS
New York
3.33
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
A
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
CBJ @ NYI
0 - 1
Feb 28, 2026
NYI @ CBJ
4 - 3
Dec 28, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
2 - 4
Nov 2, 2025
CBJ @ NYI
2 - 3
Apr 17, 2025
NYI @ CBJ
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+115.3% more
New York: 24.9
vs
Columbus: 11.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.3%
New York: 52.3%
vs
Columbus: 43.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+33.2% more
Columbus: 7.0
vs
New York: 4.7
Power Play % (L5)
+1.9%
Columbus: 13.1%
vs
New York: 11.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.4
1
NYI Score
3.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.6 / 19.0
14.0 / 25.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 43.1
68.0 / 32.0
Hits
24.9 / 11.5
40.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
11.2 / 13.1
50.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 29.2
25.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 7.0
6.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CBJ
NYI
CBJ
ML
67%
2-1
50%
1-1
67%
2-1
100%
2-0
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List