DETROIT
LIONSDET
6-1 | Road
24
GREEN BAY
PACKERSGB
6-2 | Home
14
Key Game
KEY GAME
Jack Fox
#3 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Daniel Whelan
#19 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Jack Fox | None-None |
| Daniel Whelan | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
PACKERS
100%
LIONS
--
PACKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
57.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around DET -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-6 points
16.9%
DET By 7-13 points
17.2%
GB By 1-6 points
15.5%
GB By 7-13 points
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
30.02
DETROIT
Green Bay
27.5
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Detroit
24
DETROIT
Green Bay
27
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Packers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Packers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 57.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 27, 2025
GB @ DET
31 - 24
Sep 7, 2025
DET @ GB
13 - 27
Dec 5, 2024
GB @ DET
31 - 34
Nov 3, 2024
DET @ GB
24 - 14
Nov 23, 2023
GB @ DET
29 - 22
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+116.0% more
Green Bay: 1.6
vs
Detroit: 0.4
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+21.0% more
Green Bay: 236.9
vs
Detroit: 195.8
Total Yards (L5)
+8.1% more
Green Bay: 380.8
vs
Detroit: 352.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
30.0
24
GB Score
27.5
14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.3 / 20.7
20.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards
236.9 / 195.8
273.0 / 137.0
Rushing Yards
143.9 / 156.3
138.0 / 124.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.25 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards
380.8 / 352.1
411.0 / 261.0
Turnovers
1.6 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
5.9 / 6.2
6.6 / 4.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
GB
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
0-3-1
(0.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
GB
Advantage
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0%
Total +/-: +10.0
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
DET
GB
DET
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3-1
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2-1
67%
2-1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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