SAN FRANCISCO
49ERSSF
5-5 | Road
10
GREEN BAY
PACKERSGB
7-3 | Home
38
Key Game
KEY GAME
Ricky Pearsall
#1 | Wide Receiver@
KEY GAME
Daniel Whelan
#19 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Ricky Pearsall | None-None |
| Daniel Whelan | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
30%
PACKERS
70%
49ERS
--
PACKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SF -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-6 points
16.7%
SF By 7-13 points
16.2%
GB By 1-6 points
16.1%
GB By 7-13 points
14.5%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
26.71
SAN FRANCISCO
Green Bay
25.59
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
San Francisco
20
SAN FRANCISCO
Green Bay
27
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
49ers
Loss
30% Win Prob
D
Sim
Packers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
49ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.1
A
Sim
Packers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 52.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2024
SF @ GB
10 - 38
Jan 20, 2024
GB @ SF
21 - 24
Jan 22, 2022
SF @ GB
13 - 10
Sep 26, 2021
GB @ SF
30 - 28
Nov 5, 2020
GB @ SF
34 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+22.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5
vs
Green Bay: 0.3
Turnovers (L5)
+14.4% more
Green Bay: 1.3
vs
San Francisco: 1.1
Yards Per Play (L5)
+13.2% more
Green Bay: 6.9
vs
San Francisco: 6.1
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+8.9% more
Green Bay: 252.6
vs
San Francisco: 231.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
26.7
10
GB Score
25.6
38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
20.2 / 21.3
22.0 / 11.0
Net Passing Yards
252.6 / 231.9
156.0 / 197.0
Rushing Yards
130.0 / 137.2
169.0 / 44.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.5
0.46 / 0.3
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards
382.6 / 369.1
325.0 / 241.0
Turnovers
1.3 / 1.1
0.0 / 3.0
Yards Per Play
6.9 / 6.1
4.9 / 5.1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
Advantage
4-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +9.5
GB
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +9.5
GB
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.8
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
SF
GB
SF
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
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