NEW YORK
GIANTSNYG
2-9 | Road
20
DALLAS
COWBOYSDAL
4-7 | Home
27
Key Game
KEY GAME
Chauncey Golston
#57 | Defensive End@
KEY GAME
Bryan Anger
#5 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Chauncey Golston | None-None |
| Bryan Anger | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
28%
COWBOYS
72%
GIANTS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
32.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DAL -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
NYG By 1-6 points
14.4%
NYG By 7-13 points
11.6%
DAL By 1-6 points
16.9%
DAL By 7-13 points
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
13.89
NEW YORK
Dallas
18.47
DALLAS
Simulated Score
New York
17
NEW YORK
Dallas
31
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Cowboys
Win
72% Win Prob
B
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 32.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 48.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
DAL @ NYG
20 - 28
Jan 4, 2026
DAL @ NYG
17 - 34
Sep 14, 2025
NYG @ DAL
37 - 40
Nov 28, 2024
NYG @ DAL
20 - 27
Sep 26, 2024
DAL @ NYG
20 - 15
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5)
+33.7% more
Dallas: 233.4
vs
New York: 174.5
Turnovers (L5)
+33.3% more
Dallas: 2.0
vs
New York: 1.5
Rushing Yards (L5)
+29.4% more
New York: 122.4
vs
Dallas: 86.4
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+17.0% more
New York: 0.4
vs
Dallas: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYG Score
13.9
20
DAL Score
18.5
27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.4 / 19.8
21.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards
233.4 / 174.5
195.0 / 131.0
Rushing Yards
86.4 / 122.4
122.0 / 116.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.47 / 0.25
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards
319.7 / 296.9
317.0 / 247.0
Turnovers
2.0 / 1.5
0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play
4.8 / 4.7
4.7 / 4.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
DAL
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
DAL
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0%
Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NYG
DAL
NYG
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
ATS
67%
2-1-1
100%
4-0
100%
3-0-1
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
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