GREEN BAY
PACKERSGB
9-3 | Road
31
DETROIT
LIONSDET
11-1 | Home
34
Key Game
KEY GAME
Daniel Whelan
#19 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Jack Fox
#3 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Daniel Whelan | None-None |
| Jack Fox | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
21%
LIONS
79%
PACKERS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
67.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DET -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
GB By 1-6 points
15.4%
GB By 7-13 points
13.2%
DET By 1-6 points
16.9%
DET By 7-13 points
17.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
32.23
GREEN BAY
Detroit
34.91
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Green Bay
27
GREEN BAY
Detroit
24
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Lions
Win
79% Win Prob
B
Sim
Packers
Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
C
Sim
Packers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 67.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 27, 2025
GB @ DET
31 - 24
Sep 7, 2025
DET @ GB
13 - 27
Dec 5, 2024
GB @ DET
31 - 34
Nov 3, 2024
DET @ GB
24 - 14
Nov 23, 2023
GB @ DET
29 - 22
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.0% more
Detroit: 0.9
vs
Green Bay: 0.6
First Downs (L5)
+25.9% more
Detroit: 25.5
vs
Green Bay: 20.2
Rushing Yards (L5)
+22.5% more
Detroit: 163.3
vs
Green Bay: 133.3
Total Yards (L5)
+11.6% more
Detroit: 414.9
vs
Green Bay: 371.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
32.2
31
DET Score
34.9
34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
25.5 / 20.2
27.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards
251.6 / 238.3
280.0 / 199.0
Rushing Yards
163.3 / 133.3
111.0 / 99.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.4
0.47 / 0.2
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.6 / 0.4
Total Yards
414.9 / 371.6
391.0 / 298.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
6.1 / 6.6
5.1 / 6.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
DET
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -10.0
DET
0-3-1
(0.0%)
Margin: -2.0
ATS +/-: -5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
DET
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0%
Total +/-: +10.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
GB
DET
GB
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2-1
0%
0-3-1
67%
2-1-1
33%
1-2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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