Home / NFL Projections NFL / Panthers @ Eagles CAR @ PHI

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

3-9  |  Road

16
FINAL
Sun, Dec 8 • 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

10-2  |  Home

22
Key Game
Cam Gill
KEY GAME

Cam Gill

#49 | Linebacker
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Cam Gill None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
6%
📊
EAGLES
94%
PANTHERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
34.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 42%
Under 0 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.2 points (Philadelphia)
PanthersCAR (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

38.1%

Eagles Cover

61.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -4.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CAR By 1-6 points

14.6%

CAR By 7-13 points

11.9%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.9%

PHI By 7-13 points

18.2%

AI Model Projected Score
15.18
CAROLINA
19.42
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
20
CAROLINA
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
94% Win Prob
A
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.2
C
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 34.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 8, 2024 CAR @ PHI 16 - 22
Oct 10, 2021 PHI @ CAR 21 - 18
Oct 21, 2018 CAR @ PHI 21 - 17
Oct 12, 2017 PHI @ CAR 28 - 23
Oct 25, 2015 PHI @ CAR 16 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +107.3% more
Philadelphia: 206.9 vs Carolina: 99.8
First Downs (L5) +17.5% more
Philadelphia: 20.9 vs Carolina: 17.8
Total Yards (L5) +14.4% more
Philadelphia: 366.6 vs Carolina: 320.4
Yards Per Play (L5) +8.9% more
Philadelphia: 5.8 vs Carolina: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 15.2 16
PHI Score 19.4 22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.9 / 17.8 18.0 / 20.0
Net Passing Yards 159.8 / 220.6 83.0 / 184.0
Rushing Yards 206.9 / 99.8 209.0 / 118.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.58 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 366.6 / 320.4 292.0 / 302.0
Turnovers 0.3 / 1.0 0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.8 / 5.3 5.2 / 4.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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