Key Game
KEY GAME
Michael Dickson
#4 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Blake Gillikin
#12 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Michael Dickson | None-None |
| Blake Gillikin | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
58%
CARDINALS
42%
SEAHAWKS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.2
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.2 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -5.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-6 points
16.8%
SEA By 7-13 points
18.6%
ARI By 1-6 points
14.0%
ARI By 7-13 points
11.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
24.52
SEATTLE
Arizona
19.34
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Seattle
20
SEATTLE
Arizona
27
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Seahawks
Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Seahawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.2
C
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 43.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
SEA @ ARI
31 - 7
Nov 9, 2025
ARI @ SEA
22 - 44
Sep 25, 2025
SEA @ ARI
23 - 20
Dec 8, 2024
SEA @ ARI
30 - 18
Nov 24, 2024
ARI @ SEA
6 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.1% more
Seattle: 1.6
vs
Arizona: 1.3
Rushing Yards (L5)
+60.6% more
Arizona: 130.5
vs
Seattle: 81.3
Total Yards (L5)
+22.9% more
Arizona: 365.3
vs
Seattle: 297.2
First Downs (L5)
+20.9% more
Arizona: 21.6
vs
Seattle: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
24.5
30
ARI Score
19.3
18
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.6 / 17.9
21.0 / 18.0
Net Passing Yards
234.8 / 216.0
235.0 / 233.0
Rushing Yards
130.5 / 81.3
121.0 / 176.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.33 / 0.47
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards
365.3 / 297.2
356.0 / 409.0
Turnovers
1.3 / 1.6
2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
5.8 / 4.9
5.7 / 6.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
ARI
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +2.3
ARI
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
SEA
ARI
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
1-1-2
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
75%
3-1