Home / NFL Projections NFL / Bills @ Rams BUF @ LAR

BUFFALO

BILLSBUF

10-2  |  Road

42
FINAL
Sun, Dec 8 • 4:25 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

6-6  |  Home

44
Key Game
Tyler Bass
KEY GAME

Tyler Bass

#16 | Place kicker
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Tyler Bass None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BILLS
83%
📊
RAMS
17%
BILLS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 71%
Under 0 29%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.2
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.2 points (Buffalo)
BillsBUF (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bills Cover

76.8%

Rams Cover

23.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around BUF -10.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

BUF By 1-6 points

15.1%

BUF By 7-13 points

19.7%

LAR By 1-6 points

10.6%

LAR By 7-13 points

7.1%

AI Model Projected Score
29.94
BUFFALO
19.71
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
BUFFALO
27
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bills Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bills (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.2
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 49.7
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 8, 2024 BUF @ LAR 42 - 44
Sep 8, 2022 BUF @ LAR 31 - 10
Sep 27, 2020 LAR @ BUF 32 - 35
Oct 9, 2016 BUF @ LAR 30 - 19
Dec 9, 2012 LAR @ BUF 15 - 12
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +24.6% more
Buffalo: 151.6 vs Los Angeles: 114.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +23.0% more
Buffalo: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.3
Total Yards (L5) +11.0% more
Buffalo: 373.3 vs Los Angeles: 332.1
Time of Possession (L5) +8.0% more
Buffalo: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 29.9 42
LAR Score 19.7 44
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.5 / 21.9 28.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards 217.9 / 221.7 320.0 / 342.0
Rushing Yards 114.2 / 151.6 137.0 / 103.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.73 / 0.56
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.64 / 0.36
Total Yards 332.1 / 373.3 457.0 / 445.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.8 / 6.0 6.3 / 8.2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BUF
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: +8.8
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
BUF
LAR
BUF
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rams' Special Teams Crisis: A 2026 Season Breakdown and How to F…
si 5 hours, 42 minutes ago
CeeDee Lamb Nears Historic Cowboys Milestone in Thursday Night C…
newsweek 5 hours, 42 minutes ago
Sean Payton Steps In: Broncos Shake Up Offense After Four Weeks
sportingnews 5 hours, 53 minutes ago
Colorado Buffaloes' NFL Draft Hopes Dim for Five Players Amid Th…
si 5 hours, 53 minutes ago
Rams Poised for Winning Streak After Bills Clash, Schedule Offer…
yahoo 18 hours, 23 minutes ago